Saturday, October 6, 2007

Raising More Cash

We continue to build up cash and liquidate holdings with lower QDV or less compelling growth in stock price long term. Gone are Kraft and Allstate. Kraft may yet turn into a more robust grower, but with a QDV of only 9% and with the long term trend sideways we took this bounce as an opportunity to exit for now. We will revisit if things improve. Allstate's QDV dropped to 8.5% from over 10% only a few quarters ago, and although it has a long term uptrend, it trades wide and loose. Too bad. It had a pretty good dividend yield.

We have increased our cash position from near zero to around 15% into this rally. There are some excellent QDV candidates out there that we will await attractive entries to add to our leaner portfolio.

On a side note, we are now at our anniversary date from when we started, which was Oct 04, 2006. In actuality, we took a few weeks to build up all of the positions, but we had most of them in place by that time. Anyway, based on unrealized gains and index-weighted realized gains, we have a 20% return on invested capital for the last 12 months. This does not include roughly 3% in dividends. We outperformed the Wilshire 5000 by around 2.5% during the period. In short much of this return is market return, and not anything special we did.

Needless to say, I am happy with how things have turned out so far.


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